I think China is our biggest chance for competition, in the long run, but they aren't moving quickly. That may change. I hope it does.

I also believe that the commercialization of space is the only real future it can possibly have. If people can't at least hope for a better life out there, they won't bother. China may be a big player here too, since it has no problem sponsoring large-scale commercial ventures.

Looked at from that point-of-view, though, business people like Musk and the others may turn out to be our last best hope for humanity, after all. I sure wouldn't mind being wrong!